基于Logistic模型对居民弹性出行影响因素建模研究
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划政府间国际科技创新合作专项(2019YFE0123800);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(No.30920010010)


Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    居民弹性出行特征是城市快速发展进程下的产物,随着城市居民生活水平不断提高,弹性出行在所有出行中所占比例逐渐增加,因而对居民弹性出行的研究愈发重要。为研究居民弹性出行特征的影响因素,首先利用居民弹性出行行为调查的RP-SP融合数据,结合方差膨胀检验方法研究影响居民弹性出行特征各因素间的线性相关性,最后构建多元Logistic模型,分析居民弹性出行前获取出行时间信息、天气信息作出出行选择时影响因素的显著性程度。结果表明,在0.05的显著性水平下,影响因素中年龄、游客类型、主要交通出行工具等显著影响居民弹性出行选择;居民出行前获知交通信息,弹性出行的概率能有效降低9%,在一定程度上可以降低交通压力,缓解交通拥挤。

    Abstract:

    Residents' elastic travel characteristics are the product of the rapid development of cities,with the continuous improvement of urban residents' living standards,the proportion of flexible travel in all travel is gradually increasing,therefore, the research on Residents' flexible travel is becoming more and more important.To study the influencing factors of residents' elastic travel characteristics,firstly, the RP-SP fusion data of residents' elastic travel behavior survey is used,combined with the variance expansion test method, this paper studies the linear correlation between the factors affecting residents' elastic travel characteristics,finally, a multivariate logistic model is constructed to analyze the significance of influencing factors when residents obtain travel time information and weather information before flexible travel.The results show that at the significance level of 0.05, the influencing factors such as age, type of tourists and main means of transportation significantly affect residents' flexible travel choice;residents get traffic information before travel. The probability of flexible travel can be effectively reduced by 9%, which can reduce traffic pressure and alleviate traffic congestion to a certain extent.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

李真真,郭唐仪,何流.基于Logistic模型对居民弹性出行影响因素建模研究[J].城市道桥与防洪,2022,(11):209-213,223.

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-02-21
  • 最后修改日期:2022-02-21
  • 录用日期:2022-03-11
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-11-20
  • 出版日期:
关闭