基于敏感性重要度算法的交通事故成因分析
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山东理工大学

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    摘要:

    随着经济的持续发展和车辆的不断增加,交通事故次数越发频繁,为缓解道路交通安全问题,本文以国道205山东省某市区的交通事故为例,在传统的故障树模型基础上,提出了两种敏感性重要度算法,两种算法分别借助于反三角函数、反比例函数和偏导运算,通过相关计算发现影响国道205山东省某市区交通事故的重要因素有:能见度差、照明条件差、其他因素、无中央隔离栏、年老体弱、非机动车违法上机动车道。

    Abstract:

    With the continuous economic development and the continuous increase of vehicles, the number of traffic accidents has become more frequent. In order to alleviate the road traffic safety problem, this article takes a traffic accident in an urban area of Shandong Province on National Highway 205 as an example. Based on the traditional fault tree model, this paper proposes Two sensitivity and importance algorithms are used. The two algorithms rely on inverse trigonometric functions, inverse proportional functions, and partial derivative calculations. Through related calculations, it is found that the important factors affecting traffic accidents in an urban area of Shandong Province on National Highway 205 are: poor visibility, lighting conditions Poor, other facters, no central isolation fence, old and weak, non-motorized vehicles illegally on the motorway.

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李庆印.基于敏感性重要度算法的交通事故成因分析[J].城市道桥与防洪,2022,(8):156-159.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-10-07
  • 最后修改日期:2021-10-08
  • 录用日期:2021-10-12
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-04
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